A Third Time Up the Roller Coaster
AI is NVIDIA’s third climb up a steep slope.
First came gaming in the late 2010s.
Then cryptocurrency.
Now artificial intelligence.
Each wave pushed revenue growth above 50% & with it, P/E1 ratios surged. P/E ratios rose before the revenue growth materialized.
There’s a four-quarter offset between P/E ratio & TTM2 revenue growth. When you shift revenue growth forward by a year, the correlation with P/E jumps to 0.80.