A 1 in 15,787 Chance Blog Post

I wrote a post titled Congratulations, Robot. You’ve Been Promoted! in which OpenAI declared that their AI coders were no longer junior engineers but mid-level engineers.

The post triggered the largest unsubscription rate in this blog’s history. It was a 4-sigma event.

A Nassim Taleb black swan, this was something that should happen once every 700 years of a blog author’s career.

Clearly, the post struck a nerve.

In a job market 13% smaller for recent grads than recent years, a subtle fear persists that positive developments in AI accuracy & performance accelerate job losses. Stanford’s research found :

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Congratulations, Robot. You've Been Promoted!

robot_promotion

Watching the OpenAI Dev Day videos, I listened as Thibault, engineering lead for Codex, announced “Codex is now a senior engineer.”

AI entered the organization as an intern - uncertain & inexperienced. Over the summer, engineering leaders said treat it like a junior engineer.

Congratulations, Robot. You’ve been promoted - again! From intern to senior engineer in about a year. Quite the trajectory.

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